Thursday/Friday weather event #2

Good morning


The overnight model guidance produced by the Storm Prediction Center and the River Forecast Center have down played the extend of flooding. We are still under a flood watch, and following is a look at the specific streams of interest in Ulster County:

• Lower Esopus - now forecast to remain in "action" stage, and not reach "minor" flood stage (a decrease of several feet from yesterday)
• Rondout - now forecast to only reach "minor" flood stage (a slight decrease from yesterday)
• Upper Esopus - still forecast to remain in "action" stage, and not reach "minor" flood stage
• Wallkill River - forecast to peak just short of "moderate" flood stage (another slight decrease)

New model runs of the stream levels will be available by early afternoon. .
The Storm Prediction Center has decreased expected rainfall totals to the 2" range and put the heavier amounts off the coast.
Rainfall should be heaviest this afternoon into the evening, tapering off Friday morning.

Having said all of this, there is some heavy rain coming in the next 36 hours. Highway and emergency service organizations please report road closures and reopening. The EOC will be opening with Emergency Management staff, other agencies will be called in as conditions warrant. If you need assistance, please don't hesitate to contact us via phone 331-7000, or e-mail at eoc@co.ulster.ny.us.
Art